Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 13%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 13% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 13 Feb 2026. $60.14K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 3:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| helloiamworld | No | 10.48K |
| henrypopper | No | 1.64K |
| oak | No | 808 |
| warptrading | No | 294.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clavicular-charged-again-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
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| daroghi | No | 30 |
