Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 43 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
The high was 50% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 7.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 26%; a month ago, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 7.5% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 31 markets under “Pro Football: 2026-27 400+ Passing Yards in a Game”.
$42 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $48.45, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 21 shares; the largest No position is carpajeet with 20.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 109 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 45 points · 29 Aug 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| carpajeet | No | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 1 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 400 or more passing yards in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-400-passing-yards-in-a-game
18 more markets, none above 16.0%.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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