Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 100% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 74 points up, to 99.8% on 7 Oct 2026. $460.8 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 10:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
18 more markets, none above 50.0%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 400 or more passing yards in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-400-passing-yards-in-a-game
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