Analytics
Yes is at 72%, up 22 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 57 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 1 Oct 2026. The current quote, 72%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 65% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 55%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13% on 30 Sep 2026.
It is one of 29 markets under “Pro Football: 2026-27 400+ Passing Yards in a Game”.
$887.39 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $24.87, with a 54.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $85.57 bought Yes and $69.27 bought No.
The largest Yes position is safdfshtrew with 42 shares; the largest No position is SmartBoyBilly with 30.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 91 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| safdfshtrew | Yes | 41.9 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 30 |
| tilazczz | Yes | 28.13 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 400 or more passing yards in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2026-27-400-passing-yards-in-a-game
17 more markets, none above 50.0%.
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 20.9 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | 0.88 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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