- What is the “German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: German Bundestag dissolved in 2024? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved Yes on 27 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 20th Bundestag, which is the sitting parliament of Germany, is dissolved between November 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who still holds shares in this market?
- 178 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
