Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 108.22 | $0.911 | $98.59 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.75 |
| $0.100 |
| $0.18 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.830 | $96.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.985 | $197 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 104.27 | $0.973 | $101.41 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.910 | $98.91 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | sell | 225.33 | $0.956 | $215.36 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 258.09 | $0.967 | $249.57 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 52.66 | $0.950 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.92 | $0.963 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 104.27 | $0.959 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | buy | 205.34 | $0.974 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 1?No | buy | 202.82 | $0.986 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 206.18 | $0.970 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 107.97 | $0.926 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 108.23 | $0.924 | $100 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 192.43 | $0.958 | $184.35 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.981 | $196.2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 106.38 | $0.993 | $105.64 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.220 | $30 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Yes | buy | 59.55 | $0.210 | $12.5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?No | buy | 100.72 | $0.993 | $100 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?No | buy | 101.17 | $0.988 | $100 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.260 | $14.04 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?No | buy | 100.62 | $0.994 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 104.06 | $0.961 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.879 | $17.58 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 214.06 | $0.930 | $199.08 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.012 | $1.43 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?No | buy | 102.15 | $0.979 | $100 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.965 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 454.54 | $0.916 | $416.36 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize for his 'punishable by DEATH' post by November 30?No | buy | 51.44 | $0.972 | $50 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.31K | $0.030 | $159.27 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?No | buy | 50.81 | $0.984 | $50 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | Nov 20, 2025 |