Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 2.53K | $0.280 | $709.46 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.440 |
| $2.2 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 116.78 | $0.530 | $61.89 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.36 | $0.520 | $56.35 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 115 | $0.490 | $56.35 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.540 | $582.85 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.480 | $563.64 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.963 | $192.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Down | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | sell | 200 | $0.941 | $188.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | sell | 36.82 | $0.730 | $26.88 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Down | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Down | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | sell | 281.35 | $0.860 | $241.96 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 465.57 | $0.880 | $409.7 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 66.56 | $0.962 | $64.03 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 753.22 | $0.270 | $203.37 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.250 | $1K | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 111.21 | $0.640 | $71.17 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 78.83 | $0.720 | $56.76 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 40.34 | $0.700 | $28.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 47.72 | $0.710 | $33.88 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.976 | $29.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | sell | 42.29 | $0.810 | $34.25 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.972 | $97.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $70?No | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.995 | $12.31 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 56.69 | $0.995 | $56.41 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 42.16 | $0.922 | $38.87 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.16 | $0.742 | $31.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 250 | $0.905 | $226.25 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 200 | $0.905 | $181 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 50 | $0.903 | $45.15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 1.64K | $0.780 | $1.28K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.760 | $1.74K | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.998 | $1.57K | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.991 | $4.53 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 300.44 | $0.050 | $15.02 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.230 | $402.66 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 79.23 | $0.260 | $20.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |