Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 4.5 points from 9% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026, the highest close was 9% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 26 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 31?”.
$34.29 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $194.29 since listing. The order book holds $11.55K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is PBot-10 with 160 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 180.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 180 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 160 |
| botinary | Yes | 15 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-31-2026
| Davidssss |
| Yes |
| 14.29 |
| sixty-two | No | 14.29 |
| Clear-Gelding | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
