Analytics
Yes is at 36%, up 2 points from 34% at 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Across 17 price reads from 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 17:14 UTC, the highest read was 38% on 25 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC and the lowest 31% on 25 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 31?”.
$555.11 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.52K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is suntori with 526 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 521.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:16 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 24 Oct, 19:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 17:00 UTC, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 34.0% |
| 25 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 36.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| suntori | Yes | 525.7 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 520.7 |
| bartimeeus | Yes | 29.41 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-31-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 24.41 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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