Analytics
Yes is at 58%, down 2.5 points from 60.5% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 58.5% on 25 Oct 2026. The current quote, 58%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 58.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 31?”.
$199.13 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.15K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 171 shares; the largest No position is PBot-10 with 160.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 58.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | Yes | 170.87 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
| bartimeeus | Yes | 18.18 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-31-2026
| Impressive-Steak |
| No |
| 18.18 |
| RhaegalO | No | 10.87 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | No | 10.08 |
| anon2233 | Yes | 5.08 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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