Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 5 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 29?”.
$499.48 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.62K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SmillerCat with 499 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 468.
Trading closes on 29 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SmillerCat | Yes | 499.48 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 468 |
| mtm101 | No | 31.48 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-29-2026
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
