Analytics
Yes is at 77.5%, down 5.5 points from 83% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 86% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 77% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 77% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 29?”.
$431.81 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $621.45 since listing. The order book holds $17.41K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is apper with 221 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 187.
Trading closes on 29 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 2:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 75%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 83.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 77.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| apper | Yes | 221.38 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 186.92 |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-29-2026
| ADENAWER809 |
| Yes |
| 97.63 |
| elevate-1.618 | Yes | 24 |
| MyLastStand | No | 15.38 |
| gt197 | Yes | 12.89 |
| mgb22 | Yes | 6.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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