Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, down 19 points from 66% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 66% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 65% on 24 Oct 2026. The current quote, 47.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 65% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 29?”.
$1.08K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.24K since listing. The order book holds $33.59K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 1.1K.
Trading closes on 29 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 4:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 66.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | Yes | 1.16K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 1.07K |
| PBot-10 | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-29-2026
| mtm101 |
| Yes |
| 42.41 |
| nfti | Yes | 21.74 |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 14.09 |
| RhaegalO | No | 9.09 |
| binaryblitz1 | Yes | 5 |
| Chrispyanus | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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