
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $69.88K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 4.5% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thorough-Conclusion | Yes | 684.81 |
| TunaFishGR | Yes | 657.5 |
| ergnaeriognare | Yes | 619.98 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
XAI’s Grok Chatbot put limitations on X-reply-prompted image generation in place for some users this week in response to users “digitally undressing” people (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/business/grok-image-generation-undressing-deepfake). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that restrictions on Grok image generation through X posts and replies, including generation of images of users in a bikini, have been lifted for a majority of X users including users who are not paid subscribers to either Grok or X by January 16, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from XAI or X, or evidence from Grok on X will be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution sources for this market will be evidence of Grok image-generation on X, official information from XAI, X, and a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bikinis-back-on-x-by-january-31
| Bony-Diner | Yes | 436.09 |
| Cobalt Meteor BA71 | Yes | 418.25 |
| niggabutt | Yes | 400 |
| kandinsky | Yes | 350 |
| skibiddi | Yes | 199.99 |
| 081 | Yes | 199.99 |
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