Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 314.02 | $0.111 | $14.13 | -$20.87 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 181.73 | $0.110 | $19.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 312.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $10.47 |
| -$39.53 |
 Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | Yes | 98.52 | $0.112 | $10 | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500.21 | $0.130 | $8.75 | -$56.09 |
 Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | Yes | 65.43 | $0.458 | $8.18 | -$21.82 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 59.6 | $0.045 | $4.74 | +$2.06 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 170 | $0.220 | $4.34 | -$33.07 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 200.31 | $0.054 | $1.6 | -$9.2 |
 Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 293.54 | $0.102 | $1.32 | -$28.68 |
| buy |
| 680.5 |
| $0.020 |
| $13.61 |
| Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 420 | $0.080 | $33.6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 365 | $0.020 | $7.3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Netanyahu arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 75.66 | $0.054 | $4.09 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | sell | 140.84 | $0.663 | $93.33 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Netanyahu arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 186.33 | $0.030 | $5.59 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 154.13 | $0.324 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?Yes | buy | 65.43 | $0.458 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 293.54 | $0.102 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 164.51 | $0.182 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 571.97 | $0.175 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?Yes | buy | 152.57 | $0.131 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Les Wexner arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 493.2 | $0.061 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 273.44 | $0.110 | $30 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?Yes | buy | 501.51 | $0.030 | $15 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.457 | $182.75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 709.4 | $0.028 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.017 | $20.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.61K | $0.028 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 220.61 | $0.037 | $8.2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Yes | buy | 98.52 | $0.112 | $11 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31?Yes | buy | 78.57 | $0.137 | $10.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?Yes | buy | 557.73 | $0.045 | $25 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by March 31?Yes | buy | 128.47 | $0.195 | $25 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 204.55 | $0.220 | $45 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 314.02 | $0.111 | $35 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 366.36 | $0.140 | $51.29 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 142.73 | $0.110 | $15.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 183.33 | $0.060 | $11 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.045 | $0.9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 200.31 | $0.054 | $10.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.007 | $10.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?Yes | buy | 264.89 | $0.079 | $21 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 86.51 | $0.173 | $15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.220 | $37.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |