Analytics
The Nick Hardt side is at 39% on Polymarket.
It is one of 17 markets under “Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna”.
$170.98 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.65K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Nick Hardt position is hhhizli with 138 shares; the largest Juan Manuel La Serna position is .Felipe with 107.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 8:22 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Nick Hardt price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Nick Hardt price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 39.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hhhizli | Nick Hardt | 137.56 |
| .Felipe | Juan Manuel La Serna | 106.7 |
| Musty-Acquisition | Juan Manuel La Serna | 25.86 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Nick Hardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-hardt-serna-2026-10-26
4 more markets, none above 48.0%.
| BigShark-706 | Nick Hardt | 19.83 |
| omnibus-076daa | Juan Manuel La Serna | 19.1 |
| frenchfontana | Nick Hardt | 7 |
| tjab0n | Juan Manuel La Serna | 7 |
| amonuss | Juan Manuel La Serna | 5.74 |
| TennisUnder | Nick Hardt | 1.59 |
| kavefx | Juan Manuel La Serna | 1.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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