What is the “Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 14.5¢ and No at 85.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 14.5% for Yes and 85.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($3.81K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($11.39K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 22 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 85.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 1, 2:17 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? Polymarket Odds

Market referencearc-fdv-above-5b-one-day-after-launchUpdated 1m ago

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2028 UTCfdvpre-market

Yes

14.5%

85.5%

Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢

24h Volume

$3.8K

Liquidity

$11.4K

Closes

Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Yes price

14.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

14.5%

85.5%

24h volume

$3.81K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 14.5¢

Open in terminal$3.81K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

1.0%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

14.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

85%

Yes / No shares

786.51 / 786.27

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
alexgg1	No	309.7	79.7%	$309.7	Jun 28, 9:49 PM UTC
MaxEnt	Yes	291.33	14.6%	$291.33	Aug 12, 6:58 AM UTC

Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 14.5¢ and No at 85.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 14.5% for Yes and 85.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($3.81K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($11.39K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

alexgg1

309.7

79.7%

$309.7

Jun 28, 9:49 PM UTC

MaxEnt

Yes

291.33

14.6%

$291.33

Aug 12, 6:58 AM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
alexgg1	$264.79
ChasingPaper	$166.14
nastynian	$83.15
Both-Adult	$64.13
Tsubasa	$51.3
MaxEnt	$42.24
PBH	$25.65
SuperTests	$18.71
Dr.PNL	$11.6
fi5h	$8.56
AJSV	$7.81
Wilted-Cinnamon	$7.25