Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 270 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 46% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 17% on 9 Apr 2025. $49.42K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 270 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 46.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jim11 | No | 539.02 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 450 |
| lissartter | Yes | 332.34 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-acquired-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| darthcoder1 | Yes | 235.65 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 189 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 181 |
| MFBet | Yes | 168.54 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 153 |
| puyktyht | Yes | 151.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
