Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | sell | 36.3 | $0.950 | $34.48 | Dec 12, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.060 |
| $1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 |
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Bezos divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
GTA VI released in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.045 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will any country leave NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.810 | $7.04 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Klarna IPO in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Aug 26, 2025 |
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Yoon out of custody by August 31?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 171.83 | $0.029 | $5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 91.95 | $0.044 | $4 | Aug 14, 2025 |
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.710 | $4.58 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.740 | $3.89 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 13.75 | $0.830 | $11.41 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.900 | $2.06 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Steve Bannon be in the Epstein Files?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case by July 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.057 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?Yes | buy | 139.63 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 31.23 | $0.064 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 56.11 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Trump divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |