Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 149 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 19% on 21 Jan 2026. $8K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lstmrnn | Yes | 999.98 |
| Ivory Raven CF09 | Yes | 199.77 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 114 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthony-albanese-out-as-prime-minister-of-australia-by
New to prediction markets?
| Glittering-Elf | Yes | 40 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 31 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| Cosmic Raven C957 | Yes | 21.72 |
| acoffwa | No | 21.35 |
| Near-Public | Yes | 17.15 |
| p1wd | No | 5.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
