Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 26 Jun 2025, the highest close was 3.5% on 24 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jun 2025. $135.4K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 26 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 3.5% |
| 26 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyWinner | Yes | 1.06K |
| lovefy | Yes | 1K |
| Baudlink | Yes | 639.46 |
| Used-Evaporation | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 21, 8:00 PM ET and, June 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-us-military-action-against-iran-by-wednesday
| cornel003 | Yes | 272.51 |
| metformin1 | Yes | 238.1 |
| move366 | Yes | 222.22 |
| Linear-Thump | Yes | 111.11 |
| Samipnl | Yes | 105.26 |
| 1johnny1 | Yes | 100 |
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