Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 13 | $0.680 | $3.12 | -$5.72 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.680 | $8.84 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.410 |
| $2.05 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Cookie" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 19.2 | $0.250 | $4.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 57.69 | $0.140 | $8.08 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 25 | $0.210 | $5.25 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.166 | $0.83 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 200 | $0.065 | $13 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.412 | $20.6 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?Yes | sell | 59.98 | $0.975 | $58.48 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | May 2, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.360 | $27.69 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.030 | $9.3 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.070 | $12.6 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 21.8 | $0.230 | $5.01 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?Yes | buy | 43.5 | $0.230 | $10.01 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.660 | $20.46 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.810 | $10.53 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Barron" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Coin" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Crypto Summit on Friday?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Moon" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.204 | $2.04 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.210 | $10.08 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Putin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'terrible' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.060 | $10.8 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?No | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Mary Kate Cornett breakup by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Mary Kate Cornett statement by Friday?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 43.86 | $0.570 | $25 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "DOGE" 3 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.780 | $3.44 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.036 | $3 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.420 | $1.8 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.099 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |