Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | sell | 147.57 | $0.113 | $16.65 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.850 |
| $94.44 |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.020 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 234.16 | $0.020 | $4.68 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 234.16 | $0.043 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 305 | $0.100 | $30.52 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?Yes | sell | 200.19 | $0.636 | $127.39 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?Yes | sell | 26.21 | $0.592 | $15.53 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 226.4 | $0.442 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 33.11 | $0.660 | $21.85 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?No | buy | 300 | $0.214 | $64.2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 140.84 | $0.807 | $113.66 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 147.57 | $0.678 | $100 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | sell | 163.34 | $0.877 | $143.33 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 163.34 | $0.612 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 285.85 | $0.090 | $25.73 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 405.41 | $0.740 | $300 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 4.41K | $0.023 | $100 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.973 | $463.56 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 232 | $0.420 | $97.44 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.840 | $400 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 815.56 | $0.123 | $100 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | buy | 141.05 | $0.709 | $100 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | sell | 686.11 | $0.783 | $537.26 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 686.12 | $0.780 | $535.09 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 285.86 | $0.350 | $100 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 232 | $0.431 | $100 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 3.8K | $0.093 | $351.7 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 4?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 24-30?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.041 | $13.79 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?Yes | sell | 257.98 | $0.961 | $247.79 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 569.97 | $0.128 | $72.71 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 182.73 | $0.547 | $100 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 156.23 | $0.224 | $35 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on June 27?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?100k | sell | 345.2 | $0.280 | $96.66 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.177 | $357.06 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 745.5 | $0.134 | $100 | Jun 26, 2025 |