Analytics
Yes is at 75.5%, up 7 points from 68.5% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
The high was 76.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the low 68.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 70.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 76.5% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $849.19 since listing. The order book holds $756.18, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SusanWarrenHR with 150 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 133.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 41 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 65%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 68.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SusanWarrenHR | Yes | 150 |
| AJSV | No | 133.02 |
| QR1 | Yes | 68 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-frontier-math-problem-solved-byptptpt-20261008
| Tallguy2527 |
| No |
| 60 |
| sunnynotbunny | Yes | 39.47 |
| aliiz | No | 26.99 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 20 |
| ox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA | Yes | 2 |
| Whirlwind-Cooking | Yes | 0.52 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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