Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 8 points from 14% when the market opened on 2 Jun 2026.
Across the 143 daily closes on record from 2 Jun 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.9%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 21.5% on 9 Jul 2026.
$731.68 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $724.99, with a 9.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 86 shares; the largest No position is chartreuseverte with 255.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 6:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 143 points, 2 Jun 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2026 | 14.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chartreuseverte | No | 254.62 |
| AJSV | Yes | 85.87 |
| 1walrus | Yes | 67.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-blue-origin-rocket-explodes-by-oct-31
| PPMT |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| V4grant | Yes | 29.09 |
| bluetens27 | Yes | 15 |
| Bruised-Retrospectivity | Yes | 15 |
| DeverNoom | No | 14.54 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 13.57 |
| PanosV | Yes | 9.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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