
The Anduril side is at 75.5%, up 18 points from 58% when the market opened on 20 May 2026.
Across the 157 daily closes on record from 20 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 4 Aug 2026. A week before that last close the Anduril side was at 50.5%; a month before, 52.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 50.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
$150 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.34K since listing. The order book holds $265.68, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 107 trades, $1.71K bought Anduril and $1.13K bought Lockheed Martin.
The largest Anduril position is xtxpleasecallme with 1K shares; the largest Lockheed Martin position is UniMOG1 with 1,000. Ten wallets hold 96% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:36 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Anduril price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 20 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Anduril price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 58.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Anduril | 1.04K |
| UniMOG1 | Lockheed Martin | 999.99 |
| Started-with-20-USD | Anduril | 711.33 |
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for the private company is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. If Anduril's valuation is equal to Lockheed Martin's public market capitalization at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
| thebetter1234 | Lockheed Martin | 282 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Lockheed Martin | 170 |
| LornaPredicts | Lockheed Martin | 161.32 |
| doudouc | Lockheed Martin | 100 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Lockheed Martin | 60 |
| hfv | Anduril | 50 |
| Dr.PNL | Lockheed Martin | 32.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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