Analytics
Yes is at 46%, down 3 points from 49% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 29.5% on 1 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?”.
$429.19 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.11K since listing. The order book holds $20.57K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 162 trades, $1.04K bought Yes and $830.63 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 419 shares; the largest No position is GamGanapati with 170. Ten wallets hold 86.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 418.66 |
| GamGanapati | No | 170 |
| Fluo | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is extradited to the United Kingdom between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited to the United Kingdom" means Tate is physically transferred to U.K. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Tate otherwise enters U.K. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.K. government custody by the market's end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Tate is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.K. government custody by the market's end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/andrew-tate-extradited-to-uk-by-sep-30-20260719022813213
| hfv |
| Yes |
| 116.83 |
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 60 |
| S888 | No | 59.59 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | No | 50 |
| PGD1 | No | 50 |
| ZhouCD | No | 43.33 |
| bigdihhh888 | No | 27.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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