Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, down 19 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 20% on 29 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%; a month before, 32%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 22% on 23 Aug 2026.
$77 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $953.88 since listing. The order book holds $5.11K, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 36 trades, $128.21 bought Yes and $164.14 bought No.
The largest Yes position is wallet-account-test with 72 shares; the largest No position is i2dt with 90.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| i2dt | No | 89.88 |
| wallet-account-test | Yes | 72 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 54.26 |
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-passes-ballot-measure-repealing-ranked-choice-voting
| PK123 |
| No |
| 50 |
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 49 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 37 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 36.68 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 29.98 |
| bechamel | No | 20 |
| maritime6307 | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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