What is the “AfD banned before German election?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: AfD banned before German election? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 23, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is banned at the federal level in Germany by February 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial bans at the state level or restrictions short of a full federal ban will not count. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($236.67K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$29.16K
Yes buy at 0.2%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Feb 23, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 8 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 24, 2:02 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/afd-banned-before-german-election) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
