- What is the “AfD banned before German election?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: AfD banned before German election? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved No on 23 Feb 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is banned at the federal level in Germany by February 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial bans at the state level or restrictions short of a full federal ban will not count. If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
