What is the “2025 August hottest on record?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: 2025 August hottest on record? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 11 Sep 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if the data for August 2025 is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

47 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 12, 4:36 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/2025-august-hottest-on-record) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: 2025 August hottest on record?

Market reference2025-august-hottest-on-recordUpdated Sep 12, 2025 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Sep 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$106.8K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 11, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Sep 12, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Sep 12, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

76%

Yes / No shares

16.4K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

358

Wallets

243

Loaded notional

$32.23K

No buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-1.9 pts

Range

0.1% - 2.5%

Aug 5, 12:00 AM UTC to Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	5.14K	0.1%	$5.14K
KaTXi	Yes	3.17K	2.4%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “2025 August hottest on record?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: 2025 August hottest on record? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 11 Sep 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if the data for August 2025 is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Bright Horizon 81D6

Yes

5.14K

0.1%

$5.14K

KaTXi

Yes

3.17K

2.4%

Trader	Current holding value
Bright Horizon 81D6	$0
KaTXi	$0
SANYO	$0
WingedHussarDziewiecice	$0
DCBoon	$0
DarrenSmith	$0
ilnitskiy	$0
triboon	$0
OEPATTEMPR	$0
Neg4tive2	$0
smPxUDoZZi	$0
PATRONg	$0