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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.67K |
| $0.006 |
| $10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 115.56 | $0.043 | $5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?Yes | buy | 261.84 | $0.038 | $10 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 518.33 | $0.029 | $15 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 372.57 | $0.027 | $10 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 325.32 | $0.461 | $150 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.133 | $20 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 476.98 | $0.086 | $41.02 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 91.07 | $0.220 | $20 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 91.32 | $0.274 | $25 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 321.21 | $0.467 | $150 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 475.79 | $0.011 | $5 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 561.44 | $0.045 | $25 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 92.86 | $0.560 | $52 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 144.92 | $0.035 | $5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 216.49 | $0.023 | $5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 33.1 | $0.302 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 273.97 | $0.073 | $20 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 701.28 | $0.014 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 429.36 | $0.070 | $30 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.065 | $50 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 210.19 | $0.062 | $13 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 83.8 | $0.537 | $45 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 55.83 | $0.036 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 51.95 | $0.038 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.009 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 111.58 | $0.018 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 110.14 | $0.018 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.056 | $0.08 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 118.75 | $0.041 | $4.87 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 32.81 | $0.580 | $19.03 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 109.06 | $0.200 | $21.81 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No | sell | 38.11 | $0.376 | $14.33 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 63.29 | $0.307 | $19.43 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.360 | $16.74 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 77.34 | $0.270 | $20.88 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.670 | $0.48 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 118.75 | $0.040 | $4.75 | Jan 22, 2025 |