Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 154.95 | $0.910 | $128.6 | -$12.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No | buy | 83.86 | $0.918 | $76.98 | 19d ago |
|
| No |
| 83.86 |
| $0.918 |
| $77.57 |
| +$0.59 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | $0 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 58.49 | $0.855 | $46.21 | -$3.79 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 31.75 | $0.630 | $30.32 | +$10.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.105 | $1.5 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.910 |
| $91 |
| 19d ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 58.49 | $0.855 | $50 | 19d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 32.04 | $0.156 | $5 | 19d ago |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | 19d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | 19d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 138.64 | $0.990 | $137.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.959 | $18.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.6 | $0.923 | $18.09 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 77.19 | $0.998 | $77.04 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 97.45 | $0.998 | $97.26 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.42 | $0.950 | $10.85 | May 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 47.05 | $0.993 | $46.72 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 85.54 | $0.998 | $85.37 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.530 | $6.14 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 21.52 | $0.750 | $16.14 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.880 | $5.37 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 25.3 | $0.780 | $19.73 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 25.62 | $0.988 | $25.31 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 21.52 | $0.650 | $13.99 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 13.58 | $0.969 | $13.16 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 49.4 | $0.830 | $41 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 67.78 | $0.989 | $67.03 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 77.2 | $0.410 | $31.65 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.906 | $18.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 50.92 | $0.990 | $50.41 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.600 | $4.66 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.720 | $25.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 35.93 | $0.730 | $26.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No | sell | 30.86 | $0.850 | $26.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 50.93 | $0.710 | $36.16 | Apr 17, 2026 |