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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 74.79K | $0.395 | $40.76K | +$11.2K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 344.98 | $0.800 | $275.98 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.870 |
| $4.63K |
| +$275 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4.06K | $0.868 | $3.52K | -$2.14 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.528 | $3.35K | +$976.5 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3.27K | $0.775 | $2.66K | +$120.93 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 2K | $0.920 | $1.89K | +$50 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.95K | $0.787 | $1.65K | +$116.89 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.23K | $0.900 | $1.15K | +$43.12 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.490 | $798 | +$80.53 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.340 | $706.18 | +$23.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 614.05 | $0.770 | $537.29 | +$64.47 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.490 | $495 | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 570.18 | $0.646 | $413.38 | +$44.87 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 269.64 | $0.698 | $255.49 | +$67.28 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 7.5K | $0.094 | $172.41 | -$531.63 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 219.67 | $0.610 | $157.06 | +$23.06 |
| sell |
| 24.71 |
| $0.690 |
| $17.05 |
| 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 85.5 | $0.660 | $56.43 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 425.96 | $0.690 | $293.91 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.180 | $450 | 4d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.135 | $270 | 11d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 313.01 | $0.869 | $272.01 | 11d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | 13d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.810 | $647.97 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 319.12 | $0.330 | $105.31 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.340 | $431.25 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.230 | $41.86 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 305.99 | $0.230 | $70.38 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.510 | $153 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.08 | $0.400 | $10.43 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300.27 | $0.510 | $153.14 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 890.34 | $0.330 | $293.81 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 343.76 | $0.420 | $144.38 | 19d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.46K | $0.832 | $1.21K | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.830 | $1.66K | 20d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | 21d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 411.52 | $0.100 | $41.15 | 25d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.63K | $0.540 | $2.5K | 27d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 673.18 | $0.880 | $592.12 | 27d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 948.73 | $0.874 | $829.66 | 27d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.799 | $2K | 27d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 508.31 | $0.794 | $403.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 17.88 | $0.340 | $6.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.040 | $43.67 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.009 | $13.61 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 581.75 | $0.060 | $34.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 326.6 | $0.170 | $55.52 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 112.26 | $0.040 | $4.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.92K | $0.033 | $294.22 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 607.02 | $0.060 | $36.42 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.040 | $77.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.42 | $0.160 | $11.43 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 225.05 | $0.780 | $175.54 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.770 | $269.49 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 2.57K | $0.840 | $2.16K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 18.38 | $0.520 | $9.56 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 118.56 | $0.560 | $66.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 218.1 | $0.370 | $80.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 981.8 | $0.400 | $392.72 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 111.5 | $0.540 | $60.21 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.580 | $290 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.440 | $176 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 442.23 | $0.780 | $344.94 | Aug 7, 2026 |