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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 112.01K | $0.417 | $59.93K | +$13.24K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.73K | $0.960 | $7.42K | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 16.14K |
| $0.974 |
| $15.95K |
| +$234.03 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 11.13K | $0.959 | $10.68K | +$6.31 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 10.71K | $0.930 | $9.89K | -$73.35 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.79K | $0.031 | $8.29K | +$7.8K |
 Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat? | Yes | 8.09K | $0.896 | $7.57K | +$315.54 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.79K | $0.031 | $7.21K | +$6.72K |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.8K | $0.860 | $6.44K | -$273.14 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 5.28K | $0.986 | $5.24K | +$36.93 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5.48K | $0.874 | $4.3K | -$486.24 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 4.32K | $0.975 | $4.27K | +$51.89 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 3.61K | $0.989 | $3.58K | +$7.23 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 3.78K | $0.763 | $3.57K | +$686.79 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.48K | $0.881 | $2.97K | -$91.78 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? | Yes | 3.32K | $0.887 | $2.87K | -$72.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? | Yes | 2.99K | $0.910 | $2.81K | +$89.74 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 2.74K | $0.810 | $2.57K | +$355.29 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.44K | $0.989 | $2.42K | +$3.66 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat? | Yes | 2.53K | $0.914 | $2.34K | +$28.66 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.867 | $2.34K | +$146.8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? | Yes | 2.46K | $0.894 | $2.31K | +$113.85 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat? | No | 2.24K | $0.868 | $2.07K | +$127.87 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.930 | $1.83K | +$90.6 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.88K | $0.950 | $1.81K | +$27.22 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat? | Yes | 2.02K | $0.844 | $1.77K | +$62.33 |
| buy |
| 18.78 |
| $0.955 |
| $17.93 |
| 2d ago |
 Boise State vs. OregonOregon | buy | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | 3d ago |
| Boise State vs. OregonOregon | buy | 946.98 | $0.994 | $941.3 | 3d ago |
| Boise State vs. OregonOregon | buy | 117.68 | $0.995 | $117.06 | 3d ago |
| Boise State vs. OregonOregon | buy | 93.24 | $0.955 | $89.04 | 3d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 938.9 | $0.890 | $835.62 | 3d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on September 4?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 4d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 4?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.999 | $104.9 | 4d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on September 4?No | buy | 178 | $0.999 | $177.82 | 4d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 183.08 | $0.999 | $182.9 | 4d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $795 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 170.1 | $0.999 | $169.92 | 4d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.999 | $1.67K | 4d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 474.33 | $0.997 | $472.89 | 4d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 356.49 | $0.897 | $319.82 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat?No | buy | 748.64 | $0.930 | $696.24 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.930 | $1.74K | 5d ago |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.880 | $2.31K | 5d ago |
 Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?No | buy | 20.24K | $0.999 | $20.22K | 6d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | buy | 11.01K | $0.999 | $11K | 7d ago |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | buy | 11.02K | $0.999 | $11.01K | 7d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 236.96 | $0.990 | $234.55 | 7d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.940 | $104.31 | 7d ago |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes | buy | 375.36 | $0.844 | $316.82 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.88K | $0.950 | $1.78K | 7d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.910 | $976.1 | 7d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 33.45 | $0.922 | $30.84 | 7d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.946 | $1.46K | 8d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 40.56 | $0.990 | $40.15 | 8d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 375.57 | $0.971 | $364.7 | 8d ago |
 Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 100B HKD?Yes | buy | 34.69 | $0.999 | $34.66 | 8d ago |
| Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 100B HKD?Yes | buy | 151.85 | $0.994 | $150.91 | 8d ago |
| Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 150B HKD?Yes | buy | 321.01 | $0.975 | $312.99 | 8d ago |
| Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?No | buy | 6.14K | $0.999 | $6.13K | 8d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 82.89 | $0.795 | $65.92 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 8d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 574.36 | $0.978 | $562 | 8d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | 8d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.978 | $1.5K | 8d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.999 | $1.5K | 8d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 917.34 | $0.977 | $896.53 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.910 | $1.08K | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.910 | $2.72K | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 176.71 | $0.720 | $127.23 | 9d ago |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes | buy | 60.41 | $0.970 | $58.6 | 9d ago |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes | buy | 82.62 | $0.903 | $74.61 | 9d ago |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No | buy | 233.38 | $0.900 | $210.04 | 9d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.21K | $0.896 | $7.36K | 9d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 673.2 | $0.910 | $612.61 | 9d ago |
 Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 314.32 | $0.905 | $284.52 | 9d ago |