Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.670 | $3.96 | -$6.04 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 21.1 | $0.210 | $4.43 | Apr 2, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 241.17 | $0.004 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 128.75 | $0.008 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 179.32 | $0.005 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.914 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 231.03 | $0.004 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 104.66 | $0.009 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 21.1 |
| $0.210 |
| $4.43 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 12.61 | $0.360 | $4.54 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp | buy | 30.96 | $0.290 | $8.98 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | sell | 15.82 | $0.340 | $5.38 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 14.99 | $0.300 | $4.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 13.5 | $0.710 | $9.58 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 48.28 | $0.090 | $4.34 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 43.52 | $0.100 | $4.35 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 75.86 | $0.235 | $17.8 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown | sell | 22.45 | $0.990 | $22.23 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown | buy | 21.1 | $0.210 | $4.43 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.160 | $6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 104.66 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 179.32 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 231.03 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 241.17 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 128.75 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 60.91 | $0.033 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 642.63 | $0.008 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 77.65 | $0.386 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 92.09 | $0.217 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 141.02 | $0.950 | $133.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 141.03 | $0.780 | $110 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |