Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.550 | $1.06 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.26 |
| $0.290 |
| $1.24 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 4.27 | $0.300 | $1.28 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.580 | $1.12 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.74 | $0.382 | $1.05 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.383 | $1.05 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.653 | $1.67 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.669 | $1.71 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.520 | $1.43 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.530 | $1.46 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.510 | $1.93 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.520 | $1.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.470 | $1.26 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.470 | $1.26 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.310 | $1.17 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.78 | $0.320 | $1.21 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 4.02 | $0.340 | $1.37 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.360 | $1.45 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.630 | $2.05 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.550 | $1.79 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 4.56 | $0.280 | $1.28 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.300 | $1.37 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.530 | $1.14 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.540 | $1.17 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.91 | $0.360 | $1.05 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.360 | $1.05 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.670 | $1.41 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.680 | $1.43 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.620 | $1.66 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.630 | $1.69 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.35 | $0.420 | $1.41 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.420 | $1.41 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.600 | $1.24 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.620 | $1.28 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 5.39 | $0.261 | $1.41 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 4.17 | $0.330 | $1.38 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.267 | $1.44 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.350 | $1.46 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No | sell | 2.78 | $0.640 | $1.78 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.650 | $1.81 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.93 | $0.310 | $1.22 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.94 | $0.320 | $1.26 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.320 | $1.24 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 4.02 | $0.330 | $1.33 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.330 | $1.28 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.340 | $1.37 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.628 | $1.89 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.430 | $1.02 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.440 | $1.05 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 2.71 | $0.480 | $1.3 | Mar 11, 2025 |