Latest trade
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:44 PM UTC.
Analytics
FogofWar has made $175.69 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 17 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 4:44 PM UTC.
$133.92 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Mar 9, 2026 UTC to Oct 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 16d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 08:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 16:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 16:44 UTC
polymarket positions
18 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 08:59 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $18.08K and losing ones cost $6.45K across 17 settled positions. 23.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13.63K on “Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.19K on “DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Oct 2026. It has traded 22 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 478.43 |
| $0.255 |
| $122 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22K | $0.100 | $121.66 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.237 | $288 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.005 | $75 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 10.1K | $0.017 | $173 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.028 | $40 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 714.11 | $0.038 | $27 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.040 | $160 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.033 | $67 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.030 | $53 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 762.6 | $0.070 | $53.38 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.045 | $135 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 762.6 | $0.643 | $490 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 6.74K | $0.073 | $491.3 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.056 | $160 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.044 | $20 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.048 | $93 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.050 | $34 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?Yes | buy | 30.79 | $0.617 | $19 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 381.08 | $0.370 | $141 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.082 | $140.55 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.150 | $257 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 154.92K | $0.002 | $309.83 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 66.43K | $0.002 | $132.85 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 39K | $0.006 | $234.01 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.27K | $0.006 | $49.64 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.91K | $0.006 | $94.6 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.200 | $404.16 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.98K | $0.058 | $404.16 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.79K | $0.130 | $622.74 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.2K | $0.190 | $1.75K | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.29K | $0.170 | $1.75K | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.7K | $0.260 | $1.22K | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 20.37K | $0.039 | $799.92 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 8.69K | $0.023 | $199.89 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.59K | $0.400 | $2.23K | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.031 | $62.73 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14?No | sell | 198.4 | $0.320 | $63.49 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 14?No | buy | 195.56 | $0.390 | $76.27 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs PakistanBangladesh | sell | 455.22 | $0.172 | $78.49 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs PakistanBangladesh | buy | 455.23 | $0.220 | $99.95 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.060 | $131.18 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.88K | $0.045 | $131.19 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.199 | $329.84 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 75.04 | $0.343 | $25.73 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 749.36 | $0.410 | $307.1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 10.25K | $0.100 | $1.02K | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.558 | $999.66 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.