Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.983 |
| $1 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.954 | $3 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $250 in July?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.984 | $5.12 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 12.42 | $0.948 | $11.77 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.42 | $0.949 | $11.79 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.564 | $1.33K | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.564 | $1.33K | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18.44 | $0.971 | $17.91 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.3K | $0.391 | $898.57 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.392 | $900.87 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.44 | $0.976 | $18 | Oct 18, 2024 |