Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 127.95 | $0.750 | $95.96 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 28.53 |
| $0.070 |
| $2 |
| May 23, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.540 | $40 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on May 23?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.095 | $10 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23?Yes | buy | 101.78 | $0.098 | $10 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on May 23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 167.97 | $0.988 | $165.95 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin close above $104K on May 16?Yes | buy | 61.78 | $0.360 | $22.24 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 22.8 | $0.976 | $22.24 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 22.8 | $0.960 | $21.89 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin close above $104K on May 16?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | May 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 71.79 | $0.780 | $56 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?No | sell | 42.1 | $0.994 | $41.85 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 56.57 | $0.959 | $54.25 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 275.1 | $0.210 | $57.77 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Gerwyn Price win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 56.58 | $0.707 | $40 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Arsenal wins the Premier League?No | sell | 15 | $0.837 | $12.56 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Gerwyn Price win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.049 | $0.49 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Michael Van Gerwen win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.943 | $47.15 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.580 | $31.9 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.640 | $9.6 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Israel military strike against Iran in November?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.170 | $0.22 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.550 | $7.86 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Cowboys vs. FalconsCowboys | buy | 15 | $0.360 | $5.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.085 | $0.85 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.341 | $1.71 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.383 | $11.49 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Annual inflation above 2.4% in October?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.060 | $2.1 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.013 | $3.25 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 23.67 | $0.499 | $11.81 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?No | sell | 39.47 | $0.100 | $3.95 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Sep 29, 2024 |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League?No | buy | 15 | $0.619 | $9.29 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Sep 25, 2024 |