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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.902 | $1.06K | Sep 8, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 2.15K |
| $0.375 |
| $805.91 |
| Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?No | sell | 3.19K | $0.056 | $179.73 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 3.19K | $0.157 | $500 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.458 | $905.94 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.372 | $484.22 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.031 | $60 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 608.77 | $0.821 | $500 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.543 | $800 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.036 | $140 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 35.69 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.730 | $729.79 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 165.89 | $0.756 | $125.44 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.060 | $108 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 372.43 | $0.550 | $204.84 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.837 | $752.93 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.070 | $126 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 35.69 | $0.019 | $0.69 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.200 | $3.4 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 249.99 | $0.550 | $137.49 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.41K | $0.018 | $100 | Jul 12, 2025 |