Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 636.63 | $0.160 | $79.58 | -$22.28 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 636.63 | $0.160 | $101.86 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 907.79 |
| $0.037 |
| $33.59 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 455.14 | $0.150 | $68.27 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 907.8 | $0.109 | $98.95 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 455.15 | $0.220 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.174 | $198.95 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 161.81 | $0.260 | $42.07 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.026 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 400.31 | $0.230 | $92.07 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.260 | $401.77 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.082 | $100 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.630 | $1.23K | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.05K | $0.350 | $2.12K | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.16K | $0.440 | $1.39K | Nov 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.16K | $0.475 | $1.5K | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.510 | $1.5K | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | sell | 3.73K | $0.999 | $3.73K | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 3.58K | $0.821 | $2.94K | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 156.05 | $0.750 | $117.04 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 532 | $0.220 | $117.04 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 532 | $0.250 | $133 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.995 | $1.33K | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.270 | $361.73 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 3.03K | $0.105 | $317.09 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.054 | $100 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 641.8 | $0.050 | $32.09 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 533 | $0.050 | $26.65 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | sell | 491.7 | $0.054 | $26.65 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | sell | 27.52K | $0.012 | $337.42 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?No | sell | 5.2K | $0.978 | $5.08K | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 16.18K | $0.101 | $1.63K | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.962 | $5K | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?No | sell | 6.7K | $0.989 | $6.63K | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?No | buy | 6.7K | $0.970 | $6.5K | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | sell | 6.48K | $0.002 | $13.04 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 6.4K | $0.078 | $500 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 3.74K | $0.280 | $1.05K | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 353.9 | $0.260 | $92.01 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.250 | $82 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 264.69 | $0.400 | $105.88 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.404 | $1K | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.240 | $800 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.397 | $1K | May 28, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Yes | sell | 398.74 | $0.006 | $2.39 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.304 | $600 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 836.16 | $0.048 | $40.51 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.300 | $1K | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 3.58K | $0.279 | $1K | May 24, 2025 |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Yes | buy | 398.75 | $0.251 | $100 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 836.16 | $0.120 | $100 | May 23, 2025 |