Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 840.15 | $0.840 | $726.73 | +$21 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 904.85 | $0.780 | $705.78 | 18d ago |
|
| buy |
| 840.15 |
| $0.840 |
| $705.73 |
| 18d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.996 | $1.41K | 26d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 217.09 | $0.930 | $201.89 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 44.7 | $0.940 | $42.02 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 517.65 | $0.570 | $295.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 268.18 | $0.880 | $236 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | buy | 297.65 | $0.991 | $294.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.963 | $1.42K | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on targetNo | buy | 36.11 | $0.990 | $35.75 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 64.78 | $0.967 | $62.64 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 98.2 | $0.926 | $90.93 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100.55 | $0.904 | $90.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 47.55 | $0.957 | $45.51 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 227.79 | $0.999 | $227.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 227.61 | $0.947 | $215.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 25.49 | $0.919 | $23.44 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.34 | $0.780 | $47.07 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.906 | $12.68 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 96.79 | $0.880 | $85.18 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?No | buy | 170.23 | $0.999 | $170.06 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 124.99 | $0.930 | $116.24 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 231.73 | $0.999 | $231.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 177.17 | $0.998 | $176.82 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 37.24 | $0.960 | $35.75 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 88.4 | $0.995 | $87.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 44.43 | $0.979 | $43.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.55 | $0.998 | $43.46 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 86.94 | $0.989 | $85.98 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 43.64 | $0.964 | $42.07 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 53.52 | $0.948 | $50.74 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 79.8 | $0.830 | $66.23 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 65.94 | $0.998 | $65.81 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by July meeting?No | buy | 65.83 | $0.978 | $64.38 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 27 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 64.36 | $0.989 | $63.65 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 63.65 | $0.997 | $63.46 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 22 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 63.52 | $0.930 | $59.07 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 59.03 | $0.982 | $57.97 | Jun 30, 2025 |