Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.06 |
| $0.989 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on May 6?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $695 on May 6?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Tesla reach $570 in March?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 5?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $275?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 5?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Colombia next?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.987 | $4.98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Player 38 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Send Help | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.979 | $4.93 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.987 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | sell | 6.04 | $0.975 | $5.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Jan 30, 2026 |