Latest trade
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
carkiller530 has made $15.87K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:52 PM UTC.
$514.42 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Feb 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.42K | $0.839 | $10.93K | +$1.35K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.77K | $0.790 | $2.98K | 12d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-27 08:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 19:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 19:52 UTC
polymarket positions
20 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-27 08:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $18.97K and losing ones cost $2.98K across 18 settled positions. 94.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.18K on “Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.98K on “Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Oct 2026. It has traded 40 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.9K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 10.14K |
| $0.787 |
| $8.36K |
| +$382.44 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.34K | $0.653 | $5.6K | -$4.42K |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15.98K | $0.616 | $5.35K | -$4.5K |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.29K | $0.603 | $2.93K | -$2.67K |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.58K | $0.633 | $1.61K | -$21.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.65K | $0.602 | $1.47K | -$1.33K |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.41K | $0.654 | $1.38K | -$191.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.731 | $1.33K | +$16.7 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.803 | $1.33K | -$184.29 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.850 | $941.18 | -$58.82 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.84K | $0.492 | $725.26 | -$674.73 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 783.26 | $0.894 | $716.68 | +$16.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 716.16 | $0.838 | $666.03 | +$66.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.11K | $0.322 | $543.73 | -$456.27 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 337.08 | $0.890 | $323.26 | +$23.26 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 815.5 | $0.613 | $273.19 | -$226.81 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.57K | $0.096 | $255.91 | +$105.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.86K | $0.262 | $97.4 | -$653.47 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 83.2 | $0.601 | $71.97 | +$21.97 |
| buy |
| 2.42K |
| $0.620 |
| $1.5K |
| 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 621.41 | $0.805 | $500 | 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.790 | $2K | 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.850 | $1K | 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.83K | $0.783 | $3K | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 3.11K | $0.322 | $1K | 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.802 | $900 | 12d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.178 | $279.05 | 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 137.33 | $0.801 | $110 | 12d ago |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 279.5 | $0.140 | $39.13 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 3.56K | $0.820 | $2.92K | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 640.56 | $0.468 | $300 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 893.81 | $0.559 | $500 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.634 | $800 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 568.13 | $0.229 | $129.87 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 134.11 | $0.746 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 120.79 | $0.828 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 248.9 | $0.804 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 607.87 | $0.870 | $528.85 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 318.43 | $0.830 | $264.3 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 239.99 | $0.833 | $200 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.626 | $1.2K | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.595 | $1.9K | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.664 | $1.5K | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 17.5K | $0.110 | $1.92K | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 17.5K | $0.280 | $4.9K | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Mexico" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.16K | $0.653 | $1.41K | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.7 | $0.839 | $35 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 783.26 | $0.894 | $700 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 54.22 | $0.184 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.600 | $3K | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 137.98 | $0.725 | $100 | Feb 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 675.68 | $0.740 | $500 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 815.5 | $0.613 | $500 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 611.79 | $0.654 | $400 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.610 | $2.5K | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 827.29 | $0.604 | $500 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 579.23 | $0.604 | $350 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.02K | $0.580 | $1.75K | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 83.2 | $0.601 | $50 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 607.88 | $0.329 | $200 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.640 | $650.74 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.663 | $800 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.840 | $1.5K | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 547.12 | $0.731 | $400 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.654 | $900 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.632 | $1K | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.