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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 63.74 | $0.060 | $3.82 | Apr 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 63.74 |
| $0.078 |
| $5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 84.95 | $0.118 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?No | buy | 122.22 | $0.082 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 43.95 | $0.228 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 60.29 | $0.332 | $20 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | sell | 1.96 | $0.990 | $1.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.490 | $0.93 | Apr 9, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.756 | $63.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Putin visit China by May 31?No | buy | 39.49 | $0.253 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | sell | 95.79 | $0.999 | $95.69 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 67.22 | $0.595 | $40 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 115.87 | $0.670 | $77.63 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 106.26 | $0.028 | $3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Mar 28, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.910 | $33.7 | Mar 28, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | sell | 13.09 | $0.538 | $7.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.620 | $4.49 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 204.08 | $0.046 | $9.39 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp | buy | 82.87 | $0.120 | $9.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 45.11 | $0.443 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.010 | $0.77 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | sell | 106.62 | $0.012 | $1.3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.280 | $9.33 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 57.8 | $0.207 | $11.96 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | buy | 106.63 | $0.094 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 50.85 | $0.590 | $30 | Mar 9, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp | buy | 14.83 | $0.329 | $4.88 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Honor of Kings: UU Gamers vs JLY (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group StageJLY | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Honor of Kings: UU Gamers vs JLY (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group StageJLY | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Honor of Kings: UU Gamers vs JLY (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group StageJLY | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 9?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 40.81 | $0.481 | $19.63 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.173 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |