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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 26.85 | $0.372 | $10 | Apr 22, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $5 |
| Apr 4, 2025 |
Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Apr 3, 2025 |
700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 3, 2025 |
700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Fantastic job" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'mandate' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in March?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.930 | $11.07 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.710 | $13.14 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will there be between 75k and 90k border encounters in February?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign 25-29 executive orders in March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | sell | 20.4 | $0.882 | $18 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 10.82 | $0.185 | $2 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?No | sell | 26.78 | $0.650 | $17.41 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will the price of gas be 3.14 or less on February 28?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Trump signs national abortion ban?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |