Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 13 Mar 2025, the highest close was 18.5% on 26 Feb 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 8 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 4.5% on 2 Mar 2025. $3.72K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 2:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 13 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 18.5% |
| 13 Mar 2025 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In January 2025 (FYTD) there were 81,729 border encounters (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. border encounters in February 2025 (FYTD). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2025, regardless of future revisions.If no data is posted for February 2025 (FYTD) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-border-encounters-in-february
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
