Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 24, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$302.0K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 24, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 24 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 19 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2025 to 24 Apr 2025, the highest close was 35.5% on 22 Apr 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 19 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 27.5% on 20 Apr 2025. $301.97K traded over the market's life.

54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 12:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Apr 2025 – 24 Apr 2025, chart shows 10%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Apr 2025	17.5%
24 Apr 2025	23.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	133.03K
Siziriv	Yes	1.41K
LoraK	Yes	1K
Crimson Sphinx AF56	Yes	995

10 of 54 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between April 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and April 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.