Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.84 | $0.900 | $25.96 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 81.55 |
| $0.980 |
| $79.92 |
| Aug 4, 2025 |
 Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025Yes | buy | 58.69 | $0.100 | $5.87 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 25.84 | $0.968 | $25.01 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 128.4 | $0.080 | $10.27 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 44.12 | $0.330 | $14.56 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 79.01 | $0.710 | $56.1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.600 | $90 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 248.9 | $0.110 | $27.38 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 26 | $0.959 | $24.93 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 150 | $0.090 | $13.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.028 | $0.31 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Another US debt downgrade in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?Yes | sell | 66.76 | $0.820 | $54.74 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?Yes | buy | 92.5 | $0.380 | $35.15 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.580 | $87 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Kenny Pickett start Week 1 for the Browns?Yes | buy | 29.18 | $0.258 | $7.53 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 122.08 | $0.002 | $0.24 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?No | buy | 92.33 | $0.560 | $51.7 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?Yes | sell | 29.31 | $0.040 | $1.17 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | sell | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Bolsonaro guilty?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.120 | $0.72 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.490 | $3.5 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.223 | $23.69 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.018 | $0.09 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.019 | $0.29 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | sell | 23.7 | $0.430 | $10.19 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 10.48 | $0.405 | $4.24 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?No | sell | 117.06 | $0.470 | $55.02 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 28.58 | $0.040 | $1.14 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 22 | $0.309 | $6.8 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?Yes | sell | 107.36 | $0.070 | $7.52 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 29.37 | $0.397 | $11.66 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.950 | $7.09 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 19.73 | $0.458 | $9.04 | May 31, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?No | buy | 23.58 | $0.160 | $3.77 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?Yes | sell | 222.78 | $0.030 | $6.68 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?Yes | buy | 50.07 | $0.010 | $0.5 | May 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 111.4 | $0.440 | $49.02 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | sell | 4.63 | $0.974 | $4.51 | May 16, 2025 |